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Everyone sees President Donald Trump’s weak polling numbers.

But almost nobody is asking the more important political question:

Who are the Democrats becoming?

Right now, Democrats are benefiting from economic frustration, inflation fatigue and the natural gravity that pulls against the party in power during midterms.

FOX NEWS POLL: AS ECONOMIC PAIN DEEPENS, DISAPPROVAL OF TRUMP HITS NEW HIGH

But a party winning because voters are hurting is not the same thing as a party voters truly believe in.

And that distinction may matter more than any poll.

The latest New York Times/Siena polling showed Democrats with a sizable advantage on the generic congressional ballot. On the surface, that sounds like momentum.

TRUMP VS HISTORY: HOW PRESIDENT'S POLL NUMBERS COMPARE TO BIDEN, OBAMA, BUSH AHEAD OF MIDTERMS

But underneath those numbers sits a much more fragile reality: Americans still do not seem entirely sure what today’s Democratic Party actually is.

Is it the party of working-class voters?

Or elite cultural judgment?

FOX NEWS POLL: 30% THINK RECENT TRUMP ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT WAS STAGED

Is it the party of economic populism?

Or socialism?

Is it the party of institutional stability?

DOUG SCHOEN: DEMOCRATIC BATTLE PITS MODERATES VS. PROGRESSIVES FOR SOUL OF THE PARTY

Or permanent activist revolution?

Is it the party of normalcy?

Or the party constantly trying to redefine what "normal" even means?

DEMOCRATS BREAK WITH SCANDAL-PLAGUED GRAHAM PLATNER, WARN OF 'CIVIL WAR' IN PARTY

The faces of the modern Democratic Party are so ideologically and culturally varied that voters increasingly struggle to locate its emotional center.

And voters need a center.

Especially during periods of instability.

DEMOCRAT BLASTED BY LEFT AND RIGHT AFTER SOFTENING STANCE ON SCANDAL-HIT MAINE CANDIDATE

Republicans have their own vulnerabilities right now. Trump’s numbers on inflation and the economy are weak. Voters are exhausted by high prices and years of national tension.

But Republicans possess something Democrats currently do not: clarity.

Love him or hate him, voters know what Trump represents. The Republican coalition has largely aligned itself behind one emotional story about the country: strength, nationalism, disruption and rejection of elite institutional culture.

Democrats, meanwhile, often appear to be running five competing emotional campaigns at the same time.

And that works ... until conditions change.

Because what happens if gas prices fall?

What happens if inflation cools?

What happens if Republicans can point to economic stabilization?

What happens if a conflict like Iran ends not in catastrophe, but in perceived American strength?

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A coalition powered primarily by public pain is far more fragile than a coalition powered by identity and belief.

That is the risk Democrats may be misreading in this moment.

Anti-Trump energy remains real. But opposition alone rarely sustains political movements forever. Eventually voters want to know, not simply, what a party hates; but what future it intends to build.

And increasingly, many Americans still seem uncertain about the answer.

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A drone struck an apartment building Friday in Romania, a NATO member, causing an explosion and fire that injured multiple people, local authorities said.

According to Romania’s Ministry of Defense, the incident occurred as Russia carried out an overnight drone attack in neighboring Ukraine near the Romanian border.

"A drone entered Romanian airspace, was tracked by radar systems as far as the Southern area of Galați municipality, and crashed onto the roof of a residential apartment building," the ministry said.

Romania — a member of both NATO and the European Union — has reported more than two dozen incidents involving Russian drones entering its airspace since Moscow launched its invasion of Ukraine.

NATO SCRAMBLES WARPLANES AS RUSSIA HITS NEAR ROMANIAN BORDER IN UKRAINE

Friday’s incident marked the first time a drone struck a populated area in Romania, resulting in injuries.

Romania’s state news agency reported that a woman and her child were hospitalized with minor injuries, while two other people were treated at the scene for panic attacks.

Following the incident, Romania requested additional anti-drone capabilities from NATO and described the drone’s flight path as a serious violation of international law, according to The Associated Press.

RUSSIAN DRONES TEST NATO'S ARTICLE 5 DEFENSE GUARANTEE AHEAD OF FRIDAY SANCTIONS DEADLINE

Romania’s emergency response agency said the drone struck the apartment building and exploded, sparking a fire on the 10th floor.

The agency said the drone’s entire explosive payload detonated upon impact.

Seventy people were evacuated from the building, authorities said. The fire has since been brought under control.

NEW ROMANIAN LAW MAY HAVE AVERTED NATO CLASH WITH RUSSIA AFTER BORDER STRIKES

The defense ministry said two F-16 fighter jets and a military helicopter were deployed to monitor the Russian attack. The pilots were authorized to shoot down any drones that posed a threat.

The incident came after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said earlier this week that he was pressing the United States to provide additional Patriot air defense missiles to help counter Russian attacks.

He warned that deliveries to Ukraine were falling dangerously short as the conflict with Iran strains U.S. military resources and stockpiles.

"I believe [the U.S.] must act quicker. We are being very persistent," Zelenskyy told reporters during a visit to Sweden.

Reuters and The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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It’s right up there with such presidential fibs as "Read my lips – no new taxes" and "I did not have sexual relations with that woman."

The latest declaration belongs to President Donald Trump: "I don’t care about the midterms."

Right.

There is a mountain of evidence that the president very much cares about the midterms.

TRUMP OWNS THE GOP. COULD REPUBLICANS PAY THE PRICE IN THE MIDTERMS?

So why claim otherwise?

It was his way of saying he’s above petty politics, which seems to be the only kind of politics we have these days.

It wasn’t as bad as "I don’t care about Americans’ financial problems." But still.

THE ART OF PERFECTION: HOW TRUMP SURVIVES EVEN HIS WORST BLUNDERS THROUGH SHEER REPETITION 

This was Trump’s way of saying that nothing is more important than stopping Iran from developing a nuclear weapon. Despite the two countries exchanging airstrikes, Axios reported yesterday that the administration and the Iranians had reached agreement on a 60-day memo that would reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the lifting of the U.S. blockade. Other news outlets later confirmed this.

The nuclear question – the very rationale for going to war – would be put off until the future.

The president said he wanted a couple of days to think about it.

As for the midterms:

Trump devoted enormous energy to defeating Republicans he views as disloyal, including Thomas Massie and Bill Cassidy, and can take credit for scandal-plagued Texas Republican Ken Paxton wiping out incumbent senator John Cornyn.

Trump is also the driving force behind the redistricting wars, an effort to pick up more GOP seats in the House that generally happens at the end of each decade.

The president pounced on Paxton’s Democratic opponent, James Talarico:

"A strong Open Borders advocate, he is WEAK ON CRIME, believes there are 6 genders, is insulting to Jesus Christ, will never support the Military…a Vegan who dislikes meat…" He also compared him to Alfred E. Neuman, the gap-toothed cover boy of Mad magazine.   

And he doesn’t care about the midterms?

Talarico, who gained fame when CBS refused to air his interview with Stephen Colbert, is not a vegan. But he made the rookie mistake of saying he had ordered vegan meals for his campaign.

Paxton has been impeached (and acquitted), has settled federal charges of health care fraud and been accused by his soon-to-be ex-wife of adultery.

But after giving him a free ride, the media have suddenly turned on Talarico for what he called "cringey comments."

JAMES TALARICO ADMITS PAST COMMENTS 'MISSED THE MARK' WHEN CONFRONTED ON CLAIMS LIKE GOD IS 'NON-BINARY'

Under questioning by CBS’s Ed O’Keefe, the Democrat was asked to explain such past statements as "God is non-binary."

Talarico said he was being intentionally provocative but what he meant was that "God can’t be defined by human categories."

What about having said "there are six biological variations based on chromosomes?"

In each case, Talarico tried to minimize or back away from his controversial comments.

"There are some statements that I’ve made that I certainly regret. There are statements that I’ve made where I’ve missed the mark. I’ll be the first to admit that. But Ken Paxton is intentionally clipping my cringey comments to distract from his career of corruption."

Trump has made a couple of economic speeches, but many Republicans are criticizing him for being fixated on such matters as the White House ballroom and the $1.8 billion fund that would go mainly to the Jan. 6 lawbreakers, who he calls patriots. 

The latest example: Having his Justice Department investigate writer E. Jean Carroll, who won $88 million from him, as yet unpaid, in defamation suits related to sexual assault. 

Many Americans, fed up with both parties, believe that lying is woven into the fabric of politics. And two belated confessions this week support that thesis.

First, Newt Gingrich said it was a "mistake" to impeach Bill Clinton over Monica Lewinsky, and that, as speaker, he knew that at the time because of negative feedback from his daughters. He still believes the former president committed perjury in the Paula Jones case, but admits that Clinton left office at the height of his popularity.

SUBSCRIBE TO HOWIE'S MEDIA BUZZMETER PODCAST, A RIFF ON THE DAY'S HOTTEST STORIES

Second, Jill Biden, after praising her husband’s confused and incoherent debate against Trump, now tells "CBS Sunday Morning" that the meltdown frightened her:   

"I thought ‘Oh my God, he’s having a stroke.’ And it scared me to death."

Look, Trump has said that a president’s party almost always loses seats in his sixth year, and he’s right. The combination of the Iran war and soaring prices at home clearly doesn’t help.

But not caring about the midterms? Oh, he cares, very deeply.

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Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton is the Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Sen. John Cornyn after Paxton handily won the runoff against Cornyn on Tuesday. When President Donald Trump endorsed Paxton late in the race, the campaign was effectively over. It is President Trump’s GOP, and his endorsement in a primary is the decider. Period.

Had Cornyn been the nominee, his re-election would have been a layup. Paxton’s race against Texas state Rep. James Talarico will be much more like a contested 3-pointer in the NBA than a layup. Talarico is indeed, as President Trump nicely summed it up, "weird." But even given that, Paxton will need to raise a ton of money because the engines of the Democratic fundraising machine are already at top speed for the hard-left Talarico. Paxton should win, but even Golden State Warriors star and future NBA Hall of Famer Steph Curry hits only slightly more than 42% of his shots from beyond the arc. Curry may be the best ever, but it’s a tough task to drill that shot.

So too is Paxton’s task. The entire Texas GOP will need to get behind him quickly, and Paxton will need Cornyn’s half-million runoff voters and his financial supporters. The whole GOP will need to swing behind Paxton, even though Cornyn is respected and admired by longtime conservatives like me who value his knowledge of the Constitution, his work on the Judiciary Committee in every tough fight there over decades, and his tenure as GOP whip. But party loyalists have to know that ours is a two-party system and Winston Churchill’s admonition, "Trust the people!" applies in every fair contest.

So too does the wisdom of another brilliant prime minister of Great Britain — Benjamin Disraeli, whose years as leader of the United Kingdom’s Conservatives came in the 19th century.

MAGA TRIUMPH: TRUMP ALLY KEN PAXTON DEFEATS JOHN CORNYN IN BITTER TEXAS GOP PRIMARY WAR

"It is not becoming in any Minister to decry party who has risen by party," Disraeli declared long ago. "We should always remember that if we were not partisans, we should not be Ministers." The same applies to every elected member of the GOP Senate stung by the defeat dealt their friend by the Lone Star State’s Republican voters.

The Senate majority is very much up for grabs in the fall. Republicans must defend four seats in which Democrats will mount well-financed campaigns, even if their nominees are weak. Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Jon Husted of Ohio face hard-left Democrats in Graham Platner and former Sen. Sherrod Brown. Platner is quickly becoming an albatross for Democrats across the country, as well as in Maine, but Maine is a purple-to-blue state. Brown is as formidable a candidate as Democrats can field in ruby-red Ohio.

10 SENATE RACES THAT COULD DECIDE CONTROL OF THE CHAMBER IN THE 2026 MIDTERMS

Republicans also have to defend an open seat in North Carolina. Former national GOP chairman Michael Whatley has considerable skills and financial backing, but he drew the best candidate of all the Democrats in 2026’s close races: former Tar Heel State Gov. Roy Cooper. Democrats have a vulnerable incumbent in Georgia, where Sen. Jon Ossoff is still very much the "accidental senator," but he is as hard-left as Democratic activists and donors want. Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire are all seats held by retiring Democrats, and Republicans should nominate excellent candidates not just against Ossoff but also in these three states.

So while the GOP’s current margin in the Senate is three, and control would flip to Democrats only if their nominees win four of the seven seats "in play," that’s not an impossible result, especially in the sixth year of any presidency.

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The actual accomplishments of all presidents eventually get reduced to two or three lines in American textbooks. TR, for example, is best known for the Great White Fleet, the national park system — and the election of Woodrow Wilson and all the ill that was brought down upon the country because of Roosevelt’s decision to split the GOP in 1912. Richard Nixon’s three are summed up as opening China, détente with the Soviets and Watergate. It pretty much works that way for everyone not named Lincoln or Washington.

Right now, President Trump’s tentative trio is saving the Constitution with his three Supreme Court nominees, the war with Iran and his remarkable 2016 upset and 2024 comeback.

If the Senate flips, that record is going to change dramatically, as the lawfare Trump faced while out of office will pale next to the procession of articles of impeachment from the House and never-ending trials in the Senate — none of which would succeed in removing Trump from office but all of which will drain the last two years of his tenure of joy and of other possible legislative accomplishments.

Holding on to the Senate majority is vital to the president, the party and especially the country. The Democrats have collectively embraced an agenda of extreme policy and rhetoric. So, whatever your feelings about any of the GOP’s Senate nominees, put them aside and realize — once again — it is the party with the majority in the two chambers of Congress that sets much of the agenda. There simply isn’t any room to brood over tough losses.

Hugh Hewitt is a Fox News contributor and host of "The Hugh Hewitt Show" heard weekday afternoons from 3 PM to 6 PM ET on the Salem Radio Network, and simulcast on Salem News Channel. Hugh drives Americans home on the East Coast and to lunch on the West Coast on over 400 affiliates nationwide, and on all the streaming platforms where SNC can be seen. He is a frequent guest on the Fox News Channel’s news roundtable, hosted by Bret Baier weekdays at 6pm ET. A son of Ohio and a graduate of Harvard College and the University of Michigan Law School, Hewitt has been a Professor of Law at Chapman University’s Fowler School of Law since 1996 where he teaches Constitutional Law. Hewitt launched his eponymous radio show from Los Angeles in 1990. Hewitt has frequently appeared on every major national news television network, hosted television shows for PBS and MSNBC, written for every major American paper, has authored a dozen books and moderated a score of Republican candidate debates, most recently the November 2023 Republican presidential debate in Miami and four Republican presidential debates in the 2015-16 cycle. Hewitt focuses his radio show and his column on the Constitution, national security, American politics and the Cleveland Browns and Guardians. Hewitt has interviewed tens of thousands of guests from Democrats Hillary Clinton and John Kerry to Republican Presidents George W. Bush and Donald Trump over his 40 years in broadcasting. This column previews the lead story that will drive his radio/ TV show today.

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Farmers across the Northeast are facing devastating losses after a rare late-April freeze destroyed hundreds of millions of dollars worth of crops, wiping out entire apple and peach harvests in some areas.

At Terhune Orchards in Princeton, New Jersey, orchard owner Tannwen Mount says the damage is unlike anything her family has experienced before.

"It was really a catastrophic loss for our whole region, not just here at Terhune Orchards," Mount said.

Usually, spring at the orchard is marked by budding apple trees and the beginning of a busy growing season. But this year, many trees are showing little sign of life after temperatures plunged during a critical stage of crop development.

PREVIOUS CROP LOSS FOR FARMERS IN THE NORTHEAST

Agriculture officials say the freeze hit at nearly the worst possible moment.

"This is what we call a generational freeze," said New Jersey Secretary of Agriculture Ed Wengryn. "Almost like a hundred-year storm — almost a perfect event."

According to the New Jersey Department of Agriculture, farmers across the state lost an estimated $300 million worth of fruit crops because of the freeze. Apples and peaches were among the hardest hit.

Mount says the widespread nature of the damage makes this season especially difficult.

"Never have we lost multiple crops all at once for the season," she said.

NEBRASKA RANCHERS STRUGGLE TO RECOVER FROM HISTORIC WILDFIRES AS DROUGHT WORSENS CRISIS

The freeze also impacted neighboring Pennsylvania, one of the nation’s top peach-producing states, raising concerns about reduced fruit supplies throughout the Northeast and beyond.

"There’s just not going to be any peaches from this region," Wengryn warned.

In response to the losses, New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill has requested federal disaster relief to help struggling farmers stay afloat. 

State officials say low-interest federal loans could provide critical support as growers attempt to recover from a season with little or no fruit to sell.

CONGRESS MUST NOT DERAIL THE FREIGHT RAIL LIFELINE FOR AMERICA'S FARMERS

"It’s an inexpensive source of money to help pay your bills and kind of carry you through this growing season," Wengryn explained. "Because you're not going to have a product to sell to get your next year going."

Despite the damage, some farmers are finding ways to adapt.

At Terhune Orchards, Mount says surviving crops like strawberries, blueberries, blackberries and vegetables could help offset some of the losses.

"We’re in the middle of our strawberry season. Blueberries and blackberries look great, and this is the year for pick-your-own vegetables," Mount said. "So we’re doing things a little bit different."

She’s also encouraging consumers to support local agriculture during a difficult year for farmers across the region.

"This is the year to really support your local farmers," Mount said. "Come out and buy local produce."

The U.S. Department of Agriculture recently announced relief assistance for Pennsylvania farmers affected by the freeze. USDA officials say New Jersey’s request is still under review.

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A California teacher was arrested after allegedly engaging in inappropriate sexual conduct with a minor, authorities said.

The Riverside County Sheriff’s Office Special Victims Unit said it is investigating allegations involving inappropriate contact with a student at a school in Moreno Valley, California.

The teacher, identified as Samantha J. Watson, 41, of Eastvale, was charged with sending harmful material to a juvenile, oral copulation and digital penetration.

Investigators said the alleged conduct occurred between 2017 and 2018.

CALIFORNIA MIDDLE SCHOOL ASSISTANT PRINCIPAL NABBED IN CHILD SEX STING

Authorities allege Watson had inappropriate contact with a student while employed as a teacher at a charter school located in the 23000 block of Sunnymead Boulevard in Moreno Valley.

Authorities did not identify the school where Watson allegedly worked.

Fox News Digital has reached out to schools in the area for comment.

EX-TEACHER FACES 25 CHARGES INCLUDING RAPE AND ABUSE AS INVESTIGATION WIDENS

Authorities said the investigation into Watson began in January following allegations of inappropriate contact involving a student.

Investigators executed a search warrant May 22 at a residence in the 14000 block of Silent Stream Court in Eastvale, authorities said.

Watson was taken into custody without incident.

"This is an ongoing investigation, and no additional details are available at this time," the sheriff's office said in a statement.

Investigators said they believe there may be additional victims.

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Bernie Sanders’ war against AI just gained a powerful new ally: the pope.

In a new encyclical considered to be his most important policy statement to date, Pope Leo XIV warns that AI "threatens to normalize an anti-human vision" and calls for regulation of the booming industry. According to Vatican News, the pontiff advises that technology must not be concentrated "in the hands of a few," but managed "so that the guiding principle is not solely profit but the dignity of every person and the common good of all people."

Channeling progressive Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who wants a federal moratorium on data center construction to slow the rapidly advancing technology, Pope Leo writes that AI cannot be allowed to throw people out of work "in the name of reducing costs and increasing profit." Like Bernie, the pope "expresses his hopes for a renewal of labor organizations."

The pope has linked his encyclical letter, which The Wall Street Journal writes is "poised to define Leo’s papacy," to an 1891 encyclical titled "Rerum Novarum," or "new things," which criticized social woes stemming from the Industrial Revolution. That missive was written by Pope Leo XIII, the predecessor who inspired the current pope’s choice of name. Leo XIV signed his encyclical, "Magnifica humanitas," on May 15, as did Leo XIII.

POPE LEO WARNS AI RISKS BECOMING TOOL OF 'DOMINATION, EXCLUSION AND DEATH' IN NEW ENCYCLICAL

It’s a telling choice. Yes, the Industrial Revolution created considerable suffering for early factory workers and migrants who flooded into cities ill-prepared to house or feed them. On the other hand, that same industrialization of manual work led to an unprecedented increase in living standards, health and prosperity. Before factories and machines took over production, travel and farming, most of humanity lived in abject poverty and on the edge of starvation.

The Industrial Revolution led to a huge boost in the production of everyday items such as clothes and furniture, and to lower costs. Real wages, meanwhile, climbed steadily over the course of the 19th century throughout the industrialized world, and the poverty rate declined sharply.

As described by the Adam Smith Institute, which champions capitalism: "It was the Industrial Revolution that generated the wealth that paid for advances in public health and sanitation. It led to the conquest not only of extreme poverty, but of curable and preventable diseases. Far from bringing poverty and misery to the masses, it did the opposite, lifting their material conditions at a rate and to a level never before witnessed in human history."

HERE'S HOW WE CAN LIVE AND WORK WITH ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE WITHOUT LOSING OUR HUMANITY

That is the uplifting event in human history that Pope Leo XIII deplored. In the same vein, Pope Leo XIV is opposed to the progress and wealth creation promised by artificial intelligence. As with the early industrialists who developed the steam engine and the spinning jenny, Silicon Valley innovators are making fortunes from AI and becoming politically powerful.

Tech moguls acknowledge that some jobs will be overtaken by AI, but they also predict a boost to overall productivity, which will lead to more leisure time, less drudgery and other benefits. They also see AI leading to great medical advances. Bernie Sanders and Pope Leo XIV are narrowly focused on job losses; perhaps they cannot imagine the benefits.

They are not imagining the millions of people around the world suffering from diseases, such as Parkinson’s, that may soon be curable thanks to the analytical powers of AI. They evidently don’t know about Jorie Kraus, who was stricken with a rare genetic disorder and spent the first 73 days of her life in a neonatal ICU and her first two years struggling to breathe or speak. Thanks to an AI diagnosis, Jorie was prescribed a common muscle relaxer used to treat seizures, and suddenly her little body regained control of her muscles. It was a miracle. Her mother gushed to an audience, "I said, ‘It can’t be, and it can’t be so fast. It was almost like a light switch.’"

MARGARET SPELLINGS: AI IS HERE — AND AMERICA'S SCHOOLS AREN'T PREPARING OUR KIDS TO SURVIVE IT

Or they aren’t impressed by the medical community’s newfound ability to repurpose existing drugs with the help of AI. The BBC reports, "At Harvard Medical School, an AI model found nearly 8,000 approved drugs that could potentially be repurposed to treat 17,000 different diseases."

AI’s potential benefits are not limited to medicine. Large models can help streamline operations such as air traffic control or the TSA, helping to make flying safer and travel easier. Fraud and waste in government spending can more easily be tracked and eliminated. Many dull chores, such as drafting legal agreements or creating financial spreadsheets, can be done in a jiffy, while weather forecasting could become more accurate, helping people prepare for catastrophes.

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AI critics, including Bernie and the pope, are alarmed that the bots can do some things faster and cheaper than humans, raising concerns about employment prospects. Young people, especially, are worried about their futures, and increasingly hostile toward the industry. AI developers have not adequately addressed these concerns. They should be encouraging students to learn how to use artificial intelligence, and how to master its power, showing how it can enhance their skills and opportunities.

Meanwhile, AI critics have taken a toll. According to a Morning Consult survey of brands and industries, AI is in the top 10 most distrusted categories, ranking just above social media. Interestingly, Americans are becoming less enamored with AI even as they use it more. Meanwhile, skepticism about AI is confined almost entirely to the English-speaking developed world; residents of other countries are much more positive on ChatGPT, Gemini and the like.

AI creators may be brilliant, but they’re not doing a very good job promoting the new technology to Americans. They need to fix this by showing people what AI can do for them, and encouraging regulation, along with the Trump White House, that assuages concerns.

Otherwise, Bernie and the pope may shut them down, abandoning the field to countries, especially China, which will erect far fewer guardrails to protect humanity. That is a far more frightening prospect.

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